The Copa del Rey quarter-final match between Leganes and Real Madrid will take place on February 5 at the Butarque Stadium. Leganes vs. Real Madrid: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Leganes
The club from the Madrid suburbs played all four of their current Copa del Rey matches away, achieving three victories in regular time and one in a penalty shootout. The most thrilling game was the last one, where Borja Jimenez's side defeated one of the Segunda leaders, Almeria, 3-2. Leganes' most successful season in the Copa del Rey was 2017/18 when they reached the semi-finals but lost to Sevilla over two legs.
Defender Enric Franquesa and midfielder Seydouba Cisse will miss the match due to injuries.
- The number "2" has appeared in the score at the end of regular time in 6 of the club's last 8 games in this tournament.
- Leganes has suffered only two defeats in regular time in their last 13 Copa del Rey matches (6 wins and 5 draws).
- Both teams have scored in regular time in 7 of Leganes' last 10 matches in this Cup.
Predicted lineup for Leganes (4-2-3-1)
Juan Soriano – Javi Hernandez Carrera, Matija Nastasic, Sergio Gonzalez, Adria Altimira – Renato Tapia, Seydouba Cisse – Darko Brasanac, Munir El Haddadi, Roberto Lopez – Diego Garcia.
Real Madrid
The capital club has played two matches in the current Copa del Rey. In the first game against Deportiva Minera, the team had no problems, winning 5-0 away. However, in the previous round, they managed to overcome Celta Vigo at home only in extra time (2-2, 3-0 in extra time). Last season, Madrid was stopped at the round of 16, losing to Atletico (2-4), but they last won the trophy in 2023.
Defenders David Alaba, Antonio Rudiger, Eder Militao, and Dani Carvajal are sidelined due to injuries, and midfielder Eduardo Camavinga is doubtful for the match.
- At least three goals have been scored in regular time in Real Madrid's last six Copa del Rey matches.
- Madrid has won in regular time in 5 of their last 6 away games in this tournament.
- The team has scored at least two goals in regular time in their last five away matches in this Cup.
Predicted lineup for Real Madrid (4-2-3-1)
Andriy Lunin – Fran Garcia, Raul Asensio, Antonio Rudiger, Lucas Vazquez – Aurelien Tchouameni, Luka Modric – Brahim Diaz, Vinicius Junior, Dani Ceballos – Kylian Mbappe.
Referee
Javier Alberola Rojas (Spain)
Matches – 14 (La Liga and Copa del Rey, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 41;
Average yellow cards per match – 2.9;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 26;
Penalties – 36%.
Match Prediction: Leganes vs. Real Madrid
Despite the thrashing Madrid handed out at Butarque in the first round of La Liga, I believe it will be much tougher for them to beat the hosts in this encounter. Before that game, Real had been unable to defeat Leganes at their stadium for three consecutive matches in the league and Copa del Rey (2 draws and 1 loss).
Borja Jimenez's side has shown significant improvement towards the middle of the season, suffering only one defeat in their last six matches in La Liga and the Copa del Rey, and that was by a narrow margin (3 wins and 2 draws). It's also worth noting that this winter, Leganes pulled off two sensational victories in the league, beating both Barcelona and Atletico 1-0. Additionally, Real Madrid has an important La Liga derby against Atletico in three days, and the capital club will likely focus more on that match than on this cup tie.
My prediction – Leganes with a handicap (+1.5)
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